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Drop in ransomware payment, 2024 Q1 sees a record low of 28%

 

Ransomware actors have encountered a rocky start in 2024, as indicated by statistics from cybersecurity firm Coveware. Companies are increasingly refusing to acquiesce to extortion demands, resulting in a record low of only 28% of companies paying ransom in the first quarter of the year. This figure marks a notable decrease from the 29% reported in the previous quarter of 2023. Coveware's data underscores a consistent trend since early 2019, showing a diminishing rate of ransom payments. 

The decline in ransom payments can be attributed to several factors. Organizations are implementing more sophisticated protective measures to fortify their defenses against ransomware attacks. Additionally, mounting legal pressure discourages companies from capitulating to cybercriminals' financial demands. Moreover, ransomware operators frequently breach promises not to disclose or sell stolen data even after receiving payment, further eroding trust in the extortion process. 

Despite the decrease in the payment rate, the overall amount paid to ransomware actors has surged to unprecedented levels. According to a report by Chainalysis, ransomware payments reached a staggering $1.1 billion in the previous year. This surge in payments is fueled by ransomware gangs targeting a larger number of organizations and demanding higher ransom amounts to prevent the exposure of stolen data and provide victims with decryption keys. 

In the first quarter of 2024, Coveware reports a significant 32% quarter-over-quarter drop in the average ransom payment, which now stands at $381,980. Conversely, the median ransom payment has seen a 25% quarter-over-quarter increase, reaching $250,000. This simultaneous decrease in the average and rise in the median ransom payments suggest a shift towards more moderate ransom demands, with fewer high-value targets succumbing to extortion. Examining the initial infiltration methods used by ransomware operators reveals a rising number of cases where the method is unknown, accounting for nearly half of all reported cases in the first quarter of 2024. 

Among the identified methods, remote access and vulnerability exploitation play a significant role, with certain CVE flaws being widely exploited by ransomware operators. The recent disruption of the LockBit operation by the FBI has had a profound impact on the ransomware landscape, reflected in Coveware's attack statistics. This law enforcement action has not only disrupted major ransomware gangs but has also led to payment disputes and exit scams, such as those witnessed with BlackCat/ALPHV. 

 Furthermore, these law enforcement operations have eroded the confidence of ransomware affiliates in ransomware-as-a-service (RaaS) operators, prompting many affiliates to operate independently. Some affiliates have even opted to exit cybercrime altogether, fearing the increased risk of legal consequences and the potential loss of income. Amidst these developments, one ransomware strain stands out as particularly active: Akira. 

This strain has remained the most active ransomware in terms of attacks launched in the first quarter of the year, maintaining its position for nine consecutive months. According to the FBI, Akira is responsible for breaches in at least 250 organizations and has amassed $42 million in ransom payments. Implementing robust protective measures, staying informed about emerging threats, and fostering collaboration with law enforcement agencies are essential strategies for mitigating the risks posed by ransomware attacks and safeguarding sensitive data from malicious actors.

Increasing Number of Ransomware Targets Opting Against Ransom Payments

 

For an extended period, ransomware groups have instilled fear in various organizations, including businesses, schools, and hospitals. However, there is a positive shift as an increasing number of victims are now rejecting ransom demands.

In the fourth quarter, the percentage of victims succumbing to ransom payments reached an all-time low, standing at a mere 29%, according to cybersecurity provider Coveware, specializing in assisting companies against ransomware attacks. 

This decline is not an isolated incident but part of a growing trend that commenced approximately three years ago when around 60% of victims yielded to ransomware demands. Coveware attributes this change to the enhanced capabilities of the industry in responding to successful ransomware incidents. Despite these attacks having the potential to encrypt entire networks and pilfer sensitive information, many companies are now able to recover using their own backups.

Moreover, there is a heightened awareness among victims that paying a ransom provides no assurance of data deletion. Instead, there is a risk that the stolen data might be traded clandestinely to other cybercriminal groups, and the ransomware gang could exploit the information to target the victim again.

Coveware notes, "The industry continues to get smarter on what can and cannot be reasonably obtained with a ransom payment. This has led to better guidance to victims and fewer payments for intangible assurances." 

However, on the downside, ransomware groups are still extracting substantial funds from those who choose to pay up. In Q4, the average ransomware payment soared to $568,705, up from $408,644 a year earlier. Simultaneously, the number of data breaches in 2023 set a new record at 3,205 publicly known compromises, as reported by the Identity Theft Resource Center.

Coveware emphasizes the need for a united front against the ransomware menace, urging the industry to establish stronger collaborations with law enforcement on a continuous basis rather than seeking assistance only during a ransomware attack. 

The company highlights that less than 10% of victims contacted by law enforcement for further assistance in the aftermath of a ransomware incident actually continue to collaborate. This lack of follow-through impedes law enforcement efforts, as proper evidence collection from victims is crucial to concluding investigations. Coveware's data reveals that the majority of ransomware victims are small to medium-sized businesses with employee headcounts below 1,000 people.