Google has announced a verified milestone in quantum computing that has once again drawn attention to the potential threat quantum technology could pose to Bitcoin and other digital systems in the future.
The company’s latest quantum processor, Willow, has demonstrated a confirmed computational speed-up over the world’s leading supercomputers. Published in the journal Nature, the findings mark the first verified example of a quantum processor outperforming classical machines in a real experiment.
This success brings researchers closer to the long-envisioned goal of building reliable quantum computers and signals progress toward machines that could one day challenge the cryptography protecting cryptocurrencies.
What Google Achieved
According to Google’s study, the 105-qubit Willow chip ran a physics algorithm faster than any known classical system could simulate. This achievement, often referred to as “quantum advantage,” shows that quantum processors are starting to perform calculations that are practically impossible for traditional computers.
The experiment used a method called Quantum Echoes, where researchers advanced a quantum system through several operations, intentionally disturbed one qubit, and then reversed the sequence to see if the information would reappear. The re-emergence of this information, known as a quantum echo, confirmed the system’s interference patterns and genuine quantum behavior.
In measurable terms, Willow completed the task in just over two hours, while Frontier, one of the world’s fastest publicly benchmarked supercomputers, would need about 3.2 years to perform the same operation. That represents a performance difference of nearly 13,000 times.
The results were independently verified and can be reproduced by other quantum systems, a major step forward from previous experiments that lacked reproducibility. Google CEO Sundar Pichai noted on X that this outcome is “a substantial step toward the first real-world application of quantum computing.”
Willow’s superconducting transmon qubits achieved an impressive level of stability. The chip recorded median two-qubit gate errors of 0.0015 and maintained coherence times above 100 microseconds, allowing scientists to execute 23 layers of quantum operations across 65 qubits. This pushed the system beyond what classical models can reproduce and proved that complex, multi-layered quantum circuits can now be managed with high accuracy.
From Sycamore to Willow
The Willow processor, unveiled in December 2024, is a successor to Google’s Sycamore chip from 2019, which first claimed quantum supremacy but lacked experimental consistency. Willow bridges that gap by introducing stronger error correction and better coherence, enabling experiments that can be repeated and verified within the same hardware.
While the processor is still in a research phase, its stability and reproducibility represent significant engineering progress. The experiment also confirmed that quantum interference can persist in systems too complex for classical simulation, which strengthens the case for practical quantum applications.
Toward Real-World Uses
Google now plans to move beyond proof-of-concept demonstrations toward practical quantum simulations, such as modeling atomic and molecular interactions. These tasks are vital for fields like drug discovery, battery design, and material science, where classical computers struggle to handle the enormous number of variables involved.
In collaboration with the University of California, Berkeley, Google recently demonstrated a small-scale quantum experiment to model molecular systems, marking an early step toward what the company calls a “quantum-scope” — a tool capable of observing natural phenomena that cannot be measured using classical instruments.
The Bitcoin Question
Although Willow’s success does not pose an immediate threat to Bitcoin, it has revived discussions about how close quantum computers are to breaking elliptic-curve cryptography (ECC), which underpins most digital financial systems. ECC is nearly impossible for classical computers to reverse-engineer, but it could theoretically be broken by a powerful quantum system running algorithms such as Shor’s algorithm.
Experts caution that this risk remains distant but credible. Christopher Peikert, a professor of computer science and engineering at the University of Michigan, told Decrypt that quantum computing has a small but significant chance, over five percent, of becoming a major long-term threat to cryptocurrencies.
He added that moving to post-quantum cryptography would address these vulnerabilities, but the trade-offs include larger keys and signatures, which would increase network traffic and block sizes.
Why It Matters
Simulating Willow’s circuits using tensor-network algorithms would take more than 10 million CPU-hours on Frontier. The contrast between two hours of quantum computation and several years of classical simulation offers clear evidence that practical quantum advantage is becoming real.
The Willow experiment transitions quantum research from theory to testable engineering. It shows that real hardware can perform verified calculations that classical computers cannot feasibly replicate.
For cybersecurity professionals and blockchain developers, this serves as a reminder that quantum resistance must now be part of long-term security planning. The countdown toward a quantum future has already begun, and with each verified advance, that future moves closer to reality.
As technology advances, quantum computing is no longer a distant concept — it is steadily becoming a real-world capability. While this next-generation innovation promises breakthroughs in fields like medicine and materials science, it also poses a serious threat to cybersecurity. The encryption systems that currently protect global digital infrastructure may not withstand the computing power quantum technology will one day unleash.
Data is now the most valuable strategic resource for any organization. Every financial transaction, business operation, and communication depends on encryption to stay secure. However, once quantum computers reach full capability, they could break the mathematical foundations of most existing encryption systems, exposing sensitive data on a global scale.
The urgency of post-quantum security
Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) refers to encryption methods designed to remain secure even against quantum computers. Transitioning to PQC will not be an overnight task. It demands re-engineering of applications, operating systems, and infrastructure that rely on traditional cryptography. Businesses must begin preparing now, because once the threat materializes, it will be too late to react effectively.
Experts warn that quantum computing will likely follow the same trajectory as artificial intelligence. Initially, the technology will be accessible only to a few institutions. Over time, as more companies and researchers enter the field, the technology will become cheaper and widely available including to cybercriminals. Preparing early is the only viable defense.
Governments are setting the pace
Several governments and standard-setting bodies have already started addressing the challenge. The United Kingdom’s National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) has urged organizations to adopt quantum-resistant encryption by 2035. The European Union has launched its Quantum Europe Strategy to coordinate member states toward unified standards. Meanwhile, the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) has finalized its first set of post-quantum encryption algorithms, which serve as a global reference point for organizations looking to begin their transition.
As these efforts gain momentum, businesses must stay informed about emerging regulations and standards. Compliance will require foresight, investment, and close monitoring of how different jurisdictions adapt their cybersecurity frameworks.
To handle the technical and organizational scale of this shift, companies can establish internal Centers of Excellence (CoEs) dedicated to post-quantum readiness. These teams bring together leaders from across departments: IT, compliance, legal, product development, and procurement to map vulnerabilities, identify dependencies, and coordinate upgrades.
The CoE model also supports employee training, helping close skill gaps in quantum-related technologies. By testing new encryption algorithms, auditing existing infrastructure, and maintaining company-wide communication, a CoE ensures that no critical process is overlooked.
Industry action has already begun
Leading technology providers have started adopting quantum-safe practices. For example, Red Hat’s Enterprise Linux 10 is among the first operating systems to integrate PQC support, while Kubernetes has begun enabling hybrid encryption methods that combine traditional and quantum-safe algorithms. These developments set a precedent for the rest of the industry, signaling that the shift to PQC is not a theoretical concern but an ongoing transformation.
The time to prepare is now
Transitioning to a quantum-safe infrastructure will take years, involving system audits, software redesigns, and new cryptographic standards. Organizations that begin planning today will be better equipped to protect their data, meet upcoming regulatory demands, and maintain customer trust in the digital economy.
Quantum computing will redefine the boundaries of cybersecurity. The only question is whether organizations will be ready when that day arrives.
In this modern-day digital world, companies are under constant pressure to keep their networks secure. Traditionally, encryption systems were deeply built into applications and devices, making them hard to change or update. When a flaw was found, either in the encryption method itself or because hackers became smarter, fixing it took time, effort, and risk. Most companies chose to live with the risk because they didn’t have an easy way to fix the problem or even fully understand where it existed.
Now, with data moving across various platforms, for instance cloud servers, edge devices, and personal gadgets — it’s no longer practical to depend on rigid security setups. Businesses need flexible systems that can quickly respond to new threats, government rules, and technological changes.
According to the IBM X‑Force 2025 Threat Intelligence Index, nearly one-third (30 %) of all intrusions in 2024 began with valid account credential abuse, making identity theft a top pathway for attackers.
This is where policy-driven cryptography comes in.
What Is Policy-Driven Crypto Agility?
It means building systems where encryption tools and rules can be easily updated or swapped out based on pre-defined policies, rather than making changes manually in every application or device. Think of it like setting rules in a central dashboard: when updates are needed, the changes apply across the network with a few clicks.
This method helps businesses react quickly to new security threats without affecting ongoing services. It also supports easier compliance with laws like GDPR, HIPAA, or PCI DSS, as rules can be built directly into the system and leave behind an audit trail for review.
Why Is This Important Today?
Artificial intelligence is making cyber threats more powerful. AI tools can now scan massive amounts of encrypted data, detect patterns, and even speed up the process of cracking codes. At the same time, quantum computing; a new kind of computing still in development, may soon be able to break the encryption methods we rely on today.
If organizations start preparing now by using policy-based encryption systems, they’ll be better positioned to add future-proof encryption methods like post-quantum cryptography without having to rebuild everything from scratch.
How Can Organizations Start?
To make this work, businesses need a strong key management system: one that handles the creation, rotation, and deactivation of encryption keys. On top of that, there must be a smart control layer that reads the rules (policies) and makes changes across the network automatically.
Policies should reflect real needs, such as what kind of data is being protected, where it’s going, and what device is using it. Teams across IT, security, and compliance must work together to keep these rules updated. Developers and staff should also be trained to understand how the system works.
As more companies shift toward cloud-based networks and edge computing, policy-driven cryptography offers a smarter, faster, and safer way to manage security. It reduces the chance of human error, keeps up with fast-moving threats, and ensures compliance with strict data regulations.
In a time when hackers use AI and quantum computing is fast approaching, flexible and policy-based encryption may be the key to keeping tomorrow’s networks safe.
The immense computational power that quantum computing offers raises significant concerns, particularly around its potential to compromise private keys that secure digital interactions. Among the most pressing fears is its ability to break the private keys safeguarding cryptocurrency wallets.
While this threat is genuine, it is unlikely to materialize overnight. It is, however, crucial to examine the current state of quantum computing in terms of commercial capabilities and assess its potential to pose a real danger to cryptocurrency security.
Before delving into the risks, it’s essential to understand the basics of quantum computing. Unlike classical computers, which process information using bits (either 0 or 1), quantum computers rely on quantum bits, or qubits. Qubits leverage the principles of quantum mechanics to exist in multiple states simultaneously (0, 1, or both 0 and 1, thanks to the phenomenon of superposition).
One of the primary risks posed by quantum computing stems from Shor’s algorithm, which allows quantum computers to factor large integers exponentially faster than classical algorithms. The security of several cryptographic systems, including RSA, relies on the difficulty of factoring large composite numbers. For instance, RSA-2048, a widely used cryptographic key size, underpins the private keys used to sign and authorize cryptocurrency transactions.
Breaking RSA-2048 with today’s classical computers, even using massive clusters of processors, would take billions of years. To illustrate, a successful attempt to crack RSA-768 (a 768-bit number) in 2009 required years of effort and hundreds of clustered machines. The computational difficulty grows exponentially with key size, making RSA-2048 virtually unbreakable within any human timescale—at least for now.
Commercial quantum computing offerings, such as IBM Q System One, Google Sycamore, Rigetti Aspen-9, and AWS Braket, are available today for those with the resources to use them. However, the number of qubits these systems offer remains limited — typically only a few dozen. This is far from sufficient to break even moderately sized cryptographic keys within any realistic timeframe. Breaking RSA-2048 would require millions of years with current quantum systems.
Beyond insufficient qubit capacity, today’s quantum computers face challenges in qubit stability, error correction, and scalability. Additionally, their operation depends on extreme conditions. Qubits are highly sensitive to electromagnetic disturbances, necessitating cryogenic temperatures and advanced magnetic shielding for stability.
Unlike classical computing, quantum computing lacks a clear equivalent of Moore’s Law to predict how quickly its power will grow. Google’s Hartmut Neven proposed a “Neven’s Law” suggesting double-exponential growth in quantum computing power, but this model has yet to consistently hold up in practice beyond research and development milestones.
Hypothetically, achieving double-exponential growth to reach the approximately 20 million physical qubits needed to crack RSA-2048 could take another four years. However, this projection assumes breakthroughs in addressing error correction, qubit stability, and scalability—all formidable challenges in their own right.
While quantum computing poses a theoretical threat to cryptocurrency and other cryptographic systems, significant technical hurdles must be overcome before it becomes a tangible risk. Current commercial offerings remain far from capable of cracking RSA-2048 or similar key sizes. However, as research progresses, it is crucial for industries reliant on cryptographic security to explore quantum-resistant algorithms to stay ahead of potential threats.
Asia-Pacific (APAC) enters 2025 with serious cybersecurity concerns as new technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and quantum computing are now posing more complex threats. Businesses and governments in the region are under increased pressure to build stronger defenses against these rapidly evolving risks.
How AI is Changing Cyberattacks
AI is now a primary weapon for cybercriminals, who can now develop more complex attacks. One such alarming example is the emergence of deepfake technology. Deepfakes are realistic but fake audio or video clips that can mislead people or organizations. Recently, deepfakes were used in political disinformation campaigns during elections in countries such as India and Indonesia. In Hong Kong, cybercriminals used deepfake technology to impersonate individuals and steal $25 million from a company. Audio-based deepfakes, and in particular, voice-cloning scams, will likely be used much more by hackers. It means that companies and individuals can be scammed with fake voice recordings, which would increase when this technology gets cheaper and becomes widely available. As described by Simon Green, the cybersecurity leader, this situation represents a "perfect storm" of AI-driven threats in APAC.
The Quantum Computing Threat
Even in its infancy, quantum computing threatens future data security. One of the most pressing is a strategy called "harvest now, decrypt later." Attackers will harvest encrypted data now, planning to decrypt it later when quantum technology advances enough to break current encryption methods.
The APAC region is moving at the edge of quantum technology development. Places like India, Singapore, etc., and international giants like IBM and Microsoft continue to invest so much in such technology. Their advancement is reassuring but also alarms people about having sensitive information safer. Experts speak about the issue of quantum resistant encryption to fend off future threat risks.
With more and more companies embracing AI-powered tools such as Microsoft Copilot, the emphasis on data security is becoming crucial. Companies have now shifted to better management of their data along with compliance in new regulations in order to successfully integrate AI within their operations. According to a data expert Max McNamara, robust security measures are imperative to unlock full potential of AI without compromising the privacy or safety.
To better address the intricate nature of contemporary cyberattacks, many cybersecurity experts suggest unified security platforms. Integrated systems combine and utilize various instruments and approaches used to detect threats and prevent further attacks while curtailing costs as well as minimizing inefficiencies.
The APAC region is now at a critical point for cybersecurity as threats are administered more minutely. Businesses and governments can be better prepared for the challenges of 2025 by embracing advanced defenses and having the foresight of technological developments.
Chamath Palihapitiya, CEO of Social Capital, has raised alarms over Bitcoin’s future security, cautioning that its SHA-256 encryption may become vulnerable within the next two to five years. Speaking on the All-In Podcast, he highlighted rapid advancements in quantum computing, particularly Google’s unveiling of the Willow quantum chip featuring 105 qubits. Palihapitiya estimates that 8,000 such chips could potentially breach SHA-256 encryption, underscoring the pressing need for blockchain networks to adapt.
While acknowledging the infancy of quantum computing, Palihapitiya pointed to Google’s Willow chip as a pivotal development that could accelerate breakthroughs in cryptography. Despite scalability challenges, he remains optimistic that the cryptocurrency sector will evolve to develop quantum-resistant encryption methods.
Not all experts share his concerns, however. Ki Young Ju, founder of CryptoQuant, has expressed confidence that Bitcoin’s encryption is unlikely to face quantum threats within this decade.
Bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, had anticipated such scenarios. In 2010, Satoshi proposed that the Bitcoin community could agree on the last valid blockchain snapshot and transition to a new cryptographic framework if SHA-256 were compromised. However, these early solutions are not without controversy.
Emin Gün Sirer, founder of Avalanche, has warned that some of Satoshi’s early-mined coins used an outdated Pay-To-Public-Key (P2PK) format, which exposes public keys and increases the risk of exploitation. Sirer suggested the Bitcoin community should consider freezing these coins or setting a sunset date for outdated transactions to mitigate risks.
Recent advancements in quantum computing, including Google’s Willow chip, briefly unsettled the cryptocurrency market. A sudden wave of liquidations resulted in $1.6 billion being wiped out within 24 hours. However, Bitcoin demonstrated resilience, reclaiming the $100,000 resistance level and achieving a 4.6% weekly gain.
Experts widely agree that proactive steps, such as transitioning to quantum-resistant cryptographic frameworks, will be essential for ensuring Bitcoin’s long-term security. As the quantum era approaches, collaboration and innovation within the cryptocurrency community will be pivotal in maintaining its robustness against emerging threats.
The ongoing advancements in quantum computing present both challenges and opportunities. While they highlight vulnerabilities in existing systems, they also drive the cryptocurrency sector toward innovative solutions that will likely define the next chapter in its evolution.
The cryptocurrency market reached a historic milestone this week as Bitcoin closed above $100,000 for the first time in history. This marks a defining moment, reflecting both market optimism and growing investor confidence. Despite reaching a peak of $104,000, Bitcoin experienced significant price volatility, dropping as low as $92,000 before stabilizing at $101,200 by the end of the week. These sharp fluctuations resulted in a massive liquidation of $1.8 billion, primarily from traders holding long positions.
In a major development, BlackRock's IBIT ETF purchased $398.6 million worth of Bitcoin on December 9. This acquisition propelled the fund's total assets under management to over $50 billion, setting a record as the fastest-growing ETF to reach this milestone in just 230 days. BlackRock's aggressive investment underscores the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin, solidifying its position as a mainstream financial asset.
Ripple made headlines this week with the approval of its RLUSD stablecoin by the New York Department of Financial Services. Designed for institutional use, the stablecoin will initially be launched on both Ripple's XRPL network and Ethereum. Analysts suggest this development could bolster Ripple's market standing, especially as rumors circulate about potential future partnerships, including discussions with Cardano's founder.
El Salvador created a buzz after announcing the discovery of $3 trillion worth of unmined gold. This announcement comes as the country negotiates with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding its Bitcoin law. Reports indicate that El Salvador may make Bitcoin usage optional for merchants as part of an agreement to secure financial aid. This discovery adds an intriguing dimension to the nation’s economic strategy as it continues to embrace cryptocurrency alongside traditional resources.
Google showcased advancements in its quantum computing technology with its Willow chip, a quantum processor capable of solving problems exponentially faster than traditional supercomputers. While concerns have been raised about the potential impact on Bitcoin's security, experts confirm there is no immediate threat. Bitcoin's encryption, based on CDSA-256 and SHA-256, remains robust. With Willow currently at 105 qubits, it would take quantum technology reaching millions of qubits to penetrate Bitcoin's encryption methods effectively.
Bitcoin's surge past $100,000 is undoubtedly a significant achievement, but analysts predict a short-term consolidation phase. Experts anticipate sideways price action as traders and investors take profits before year-end. Meanwhile, Ethereum experienced a 10% decline this week, reflecting broader market adjustments amid declining trading volumes.
The crypto space continues to evolve rapidly, with milestones and challenges shaping the future of digital assets. While optimism surrounds Bitcoin’s rise, vigilance remains essential as market dynamics unfold.