Sberbank predicted an outflow of two to four trillion rubles (around $5,5 billion), which are currently stored in banks, to the digital ruble. According to the credit institution, this can happen within three years.
Deputy Chairman of the Board of Sberbank Anatoly Popov said that now the market does not have a large liquidity surplus. "These funds (2-4 trillion rubles) will no longer be available for lending, which will eventually lead to a shortage of liquidity and, as a result, to an increase in rates," predicted Mr. Popov.
According to Popov, the flow of about 10 percent of non-cash funds into the digital ruble will lead to an increase in credit rates by half a percentage point.
Earlier, in October 2020, the Central Bank of Russia presented the concept of the digital ruble. It was supposed to take the form of a unique digital code stored in a special electronic wallet. The transfer of the digital ruble from user to user will take place in the form of moving a digital code from one electronic wallet to another.
It is expected that the digital ruble will become a full-fledged means of payment, just like the regular ruble, and will be able to be used by the population, business, and the state, ensuring simplicity of payments, their high speed, high reliability, and low costs.
The largest market participants supported the concept of the Central Bank, but Sberbank proposed to expand the properties of the digital currency to all non-cash money. According to the state bank, the payment system will benefit more from the evolution of the non-cash ruble than from the creation of an additional digital currency.
Announcing the possible appearance of the digital ruble, the Russian Central Bank joined dozens of world Central banks that have begun research and experiments in the field of creating national digital currencies.
Yevgeny Marchenko, Director of E. M. FINANCE, was one of the first to share his opinion on the issue. The expert is sure that the introduction of the digital ruble is necessary to increase the convenience of payments for citizens.
Also, among other advantages for citizens and banks, the introduction of the electronic ruble will allow the Bank of Russia to better regulate the country's economy.
The official representative of the Garantex cryptocurrency exchange, Tatyana Maksimenko, noted that it will be increasingly difficult to conduct gray and black schemes since cash flows will be under control — both foreign and domestic.
According to independent expert Leonid Khazanov, the digital ruble is primarily beneficial to the Bank of Russia and the Federal Tax Service. According to him, it will be possible to more effectively control the movement of cash flows in the country and it will be easy to identify any user who has an electronic wallet, which means complete transparency of all transactions. And no one can create several accounts or disguise themselves in any way, each legal entity and individual can only have one e-wallet.
Experiments by Central banks in a number of countries with the national digital currency reveal unsolved problems: for example, the inability to control cross-border movements or the potential use of anonymizers that make it difficult to track payments. The fate of digital currencies, including the ruble, depends on whether regulators will be able to close these gaps.